Politics · 12 markets

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Vol total$337K

Vol 24h$304

Liquidity$100K

Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Umaro Sissoco Embaló

$91K vol·+0%·7d

14.6%

chance

Yes 15¢ · No 85¢

🎯

Fernando Dias da Costa

$58K vol·+1%·7d

17.5%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 83¢

🎯

Siga Batista

$25K vol·-3%·7d

2.9%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

José Mário Vaz

$22K vol

2.6%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

$20K vol

2.5%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Gabriel Fernando Indi

$19K vol·+0%·7d

2.5%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Honório Augusto Lopes

$19K vol·+0%·7d

2.5%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

João de Deus Mendes

$18K vol·-1%·7d

2.1%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

João Bernardo Vieira

$17K vol·+0%·7d

2.1%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Baciro Djá

$15K vol·+0%·7d

2.8%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Mário da Silva Júnior

$18K vol·-0%·7d

2.0%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Herculano Armando Bequinsa

$16K vol

1.1%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).