Politics · 6 markets

Greater Wellington Wairarapa By-Election Winner

Vol total$4K

Vol 24h$372

Liquidity$16K

Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Alistair Plimmer

$3K vol·-16%·7d

17.0%

chance

Yes 17¢ · No 83¢

🎯

Colin Olds

$226 vol·+24%·7d

54.0%

chance

Yes 54¢ · No 46¢

🎯

John Hart

$210 vol·+42%·7d

50.0%

chance

Yes 50¢ · No 50¢

🎯

Jill Greathead

$158 vol·+34%·7d

43.5%

chance

Yes 44¢ · No 56¢

🎯

Amber Craig

$265 vol·-9%·7d

1.0%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🎯

Michael Birch

$159 vol·-9%·7d

1.1%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

A by-election for the Wairarapa constituency of the Greater Wellington Regional Council in New Zealand is currently scheduled to be held on on August 21, 2026, following the death of incumbent councillor Adrienne Staples. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Wairarapa constituency by-election for the Greater Wellington Regional Council. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Greater Wellington Regional Council (https://www.gw.govt.nz/).