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Economy · binary

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Vol total$7.3M
Vol 24h$164K
Liquidity$310K
Resolves112d

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Prediction

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.5450
Shares (est)9.17
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$4.17
If Yes wins pays$9.17
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Price history-6.00% · 1W
43%46%50%53%57%Aug 12Aug 13Aug 15Aug 16Aug 18Aug 19

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.