All events
Economy · 2 markets

Fed rate hike by...?

Vol total$2.3M
Vol 24h$20K
Liquidity$154K
Resolves71d

Outcomes · most likely first

📅
September Meeting
$867K vol·-11%·7d
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
📅
October Meeting
$486K vol·-7%·7d
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.