Politics · 7 markets

Falealili 1 By-Election Winner

Vol total$1K

Vol 24h$1K

Liquidity$21K

Resolves18d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$413 vol

31.5%

chance

Yes 32¢ · No 69¢

🎯

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$389 vol

44.5%

chance

Yes 45¢ · No 56¢

🎯

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$171 vol

8.5%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 92¢

🎯

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$109 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$67 vol

13.5%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 87¢

🎯

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$51 vol

3.0%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$85 vol

1.6%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).