Culture · 5 markets

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)

Vol total$46K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$9K

Resolves27d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny

$37K vol·+16%·7d

71.9%

chance

Yes 72¢ · No 28¢

🎯

The Oscars

$5K vol·-6%·7d

17.8%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 82¢

🎯

The Tonys

$2K vol·+1%·7d

3.9%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

The Golden Globes

$1K vol·-8%·7d

4.8%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

The Grammys

$1K vol

0.9%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.