Culture · 5 markets

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie

Vol total$43K

Vol 24h$3K

Liquidity$6K

Resolves26d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Carey Mulligan – “Beef”

$19K vol·+2%·7d

46.5%

chance

Yes 47¢ · No 54¢

🎯

Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault”

$9K vol·+3%·7d

29.0%

chance

Yes 29¢ · No 71¢

🎯

Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette”

$8K vol·+4%·7d

12.7%

chance

Yes 13¢ · No 87¢

🎯

Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures”

$5K vol·-3%·7d

11.6%

chance

Yes 12¢ · No 88¢

🎯

Claire Danes – “The Beast In Me”

$2K vol·+1%·7d

5.3%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

Resolution rules

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.