Culture · 5 markets

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

Vol total$14K

Vol 24h$791

Liquidity$14K

Resolves25d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”

$12K vol·+1%·7d

92.0%

chance

Yes 92¢ · No 8¢

🎯

Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat”

$582 vol·+0%·7d

3.0%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise”

$362 vol·+1%·7d

4.2%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses”

$301 vol·+0%·7d

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Mark Ruffalo – “Task”

$200 vol·-0%·7d

2.8%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

Resolution rules

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.