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Politics · 9 markets

Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?

Vol total$4K
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$2K
Resolves7d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
≥40%
$742 vol
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🎯
≥60%
$589 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🎯
≥85%
$369 vol
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
≥50%
$330 vol
84.5%
chance
Yes 85¢ · No 16¢
🎯
≥65%
$328 vol
4.9%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
≥55%
$182 vol
81.0%
chance
Yes 81¢ · No 19¢
🎯
≥45%
$181 vol
67.0%
chance
Yes 67¢ · No 33¢
🎯
≥30%
$879 vol
98.2%
chance
Yes 98¢ · No 2¢
🎯
≥75%
$389 vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.