Climate · 3 markets
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$197
Liquidity$767
Resolves—
Outcomes · most likely first
🎯
August 30
$2K vol·-4%·7d
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎆
December 31
$534 vol
62.5%
chance
Yes 63¢ · No 38¢
🎃
October 31
$521 vol·-2%·7d
65.0%
chance
Yes 65¢ · No 35¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.