All events
Tech & AI · 3 markets

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$937
Resolves73d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
August 31, 2026
$1K vol·-29%·7d
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
October 31, 2026
$1 vol·-2%·7d
58.0%
chance
Yes 58¢ · No 42¢
🎯
September 30, 2026
$0 vol·-3%·7d
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.