Politics · 4 markets

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

Vol total$717

Vol 24h$717

Liquidity$18K

Resolves25d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Mike Derry

$371 vol

76.5%

chance

Yes 77¢ · No 24¢

🎯

Kyle Campbell

$155 vol

17.5%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 83¢

🎯

Kyle Joseph

$114 vol

6.2%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

John Roggeveen

$77 vol

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

Resolution rules

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).