All events
Politics · 13 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Vol total$761
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$44K
Resolves34d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇧🇷
Lula
$115 vol
90.0%
chance
Yes 90¢ · No 10¢
🇧🇷
Zema
$108 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🇧🇷
Flavio Bolsonaro
$58 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$28 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$28 vol
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇧🇷
Escritor Augusto Cury
$28 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇧🇷
Rui Costa Pimenta
$228 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇧🇷
Pablo Marçal
$28 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇧🇷
Clariana Barao
$28 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇧🇷
Hertz Dias
$28 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇧🇷
Samara
$28 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇧🇷
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$28 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇧🇷
Edmilson Costa
$28 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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