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Politics · binary

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?

Vol total$212
Vol 24h$232
Liquidity$10K
Resolves31d

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Prediction

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?

Your pick: Linke — each share pays $1 if Linke wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideLinke
Price$0.8800
Shares (est)5.68
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Linke wins+$0.68
If Linke wins pays$5.68
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Price history-2.50% · 1W
86%88%89%91%93%Aug 20Aug 20Aug 20Aug 20Aug 20Aug 21

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election. This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and SPD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party. Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).