All events
Politics · 8 markets

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Vol total$23K
Vol 24h$520
Liquidity$74K
Resolves30d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇩🇪
CDU
$6K vol·-7%·7d
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🇩🇪
AfD
$5K vol·+2%·7d
33.0%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 67¢
🔴
Linke
$5K vol·+3%·7d
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🟢
Grüne
$4K vol·+1%·7d
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🇩🇪
SPD
$1K vol·+8%·7d
8.7%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇩🇪
BSW
$750 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇩🇪
FDP
$674 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟡
FW
$582 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)