All events
Politics · 24 markets

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

Vol total$73K
Vol 24h$176
Liquidity$167K
Resolves27d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
UBJP
$44K vol·-3%·7d
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🎯
BFP
$13K vol·+7%·7d
59.0%
chance
Yes 59¢ · No 41¢
🎯
ROHOSUMA
$1K vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
LBIAA
$860 vol·+0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
⏸️
Election Postponed/Canceled
$813 vol·-0%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
BGC
$766 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
BAPA
$728 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
C4P
$713 vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
BEST PARTY
$681 vol·-1%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
MUSHAWARA
$673 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
ISLPI
$645 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
ABOT
$643 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
MORO AKO
$634 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
ISAMA
$634 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
DTLO
$630 vol·-2%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇵🇭
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$616 vol·-1%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$609 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
MAHARDIKA
$607 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
RSEU
$607 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
THE ROYALS
$601 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
ROHOSUPA
$600 vol·-1%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇵🇭
PBB
$568 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
TPWC
$521 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
RSL
$515 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).